San Francisco CA Commercial Real Estate Market Trends Analysis

Overview

San Francisco Commercial Real Estate Investing Market Overview

Over the previous ten years, San Francisco has had a median gross rent standard for housing units of . Over that period the same indicator for the state was . For the entire US, the median throughout that period was .

The growth rate for the population in San Francisco during the most recent 10 year period is . In the same decade, the growth rate for the state was . These numbers can be compared to the national 10 year growth rate of .

A tighter review of the population growth in San Francisco shows an annual growth rate of . The state of California shows a yearly annual growth rate of . You can employ the nation’s average of to calculate how San Francisco ranks nationally.

Property values in the San Francisco community reveal an average annual growth rate of . You can assess that against the state’s annual growth rate of . The national rate is .

The homes in San Francisco have a median value of . Across California, the median home value is , while nationwide it’s .

San Francisco Commercial Real Estate Investing Highlights

San Francisco Top Highlights

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Based on latest data from the US Census Bureau
Based on latest data from the US Census Bureau

Strategies

Strategy Selection

When seeking a commercial property investing market, you ought to have determined which investment strategy you want to utilize. Every strategy necessitates particular demographics information for the applicable market analysis.

Follow us as we explain different investment methods for commercial real estate to discover which market research statistics data you will need for correct market research. Comprehending the most valuable data for every strategy is going to make you more effective in utilizing this resource to assess possible investment markets for your project.

Active Real Estate Investing Strategies

Multifamily Investing

Leased assets that hold more than one residential renter are considered multifamily. The investor will hold the asset long-term and operate as the landlord.

Usually, multifamily home owners opt to use the services of the top commercial property management companies in San Francisco CA rather than take care of managing their rentals personally.

Multifamily assets create investment returns from ongoing lease revenue which should be boosted by the eventual liquidation of the asset. The profitability of the investment will rely on maintaining a majority of the units occupied.

A good plan that is based on local vacancy figures will be handy when you ask for financing — to persuade the company to approve your application. Go over our guides describing how to qualify for a multifamily loan as well as how to assess commercial property value.

Also, this directory of the commercial real estate loan brokers and lenders in San Francisco CA will help you to pick a lending firm.

Median Gross Rents

Acceptable rental income levels are an important component for multifamily investors. If an investor can’t charge suitable rent to make a profit, they will not go with that area.

Average rent is not as accurate a barometer for investors as median rent. Average rent could be misleading. A community that needs more mid to lower rent units might have a higher rent average than those apartments can charge. You will know that there are an equal number of apartments charging lower rent than the median than those charging higher rent.

Annual Average Population Growth

A market that is losing citizens is not good for real estate investors. When there are fewer potential renters, there will be a decreased demand for housing.

A stagnant populace could be the interim stage prior to becoming a declining populace. Population increase is a fundamental factor that real estate investors hunt for in market reports.

10 Year Population Growth

A credible investment plan requires demographic data analysis on the population growth in the area. When a region indicates upward improvement that is less than previous years’ improvement, that might be a problem.

However, last year’s insignificant shrinkage, while the population has gotten better steadily during recent years, might signal a chance to acquire property cheaper and see it appreciating in the future.

Property Tax Rates

Regularly rising tax rates might signal an inadequately governed municipality. This will result in a deterioration in public services that may generate out-migration, shrinking tax base, and static or shrinking property values.

In places where the town or county continues bumping the property taxes up, the number of rents and unoccupied properties will also go higher. In this situation, researching historical data on tax rates will benefit real estate investors.

Income Levels

An area’s income amounts will tell investors which classification of properties is most needed. This will affect their investment strategy.

Quality of Schools

A lot of your tenants will have young kids. They will look carefully at the strength of the schools that their children will enroll to if they live in your property.

Industrial Property Investing

Industrial properties are a category of commercial real estate that is used by businesses that do business with other businesses (B2B tenants). B2B companies either make or deliver goods to other manufacturers or retailers.

Lately another group of industrial tenants has been created by fulfillment centers that disburse online purchases to retail purchasers.

Industrial properties are long-term hold investments that are desired by investors/landlords. These investments benefit from both income (lease) and the expected increase in the value of the asset. Industrial lease agreements can be structured on either gross or net rent conditions.

Annual and 10 Year Population Growth

Population data is vital for industrial investment plans in ways that are dissimilar from residential investments. They don’t rent to the public, however they need to see a growing number of taxpayers in the market. Sufficient tax revenues are needed to maintain highways and infrastructure that industrial properties require.

All property values, commercial in addition to residential, are hurt in areas that are losing citizens. The renters for industrial properties need a stable local workforce. Large industrial renters will shun areas that are losing residents.

Property Tax Rates

Industrial investors use property tax history as a signal of the vitality of a community, just like multifamily home investors. Unstable tax rates stop you from correctly predicting your expected profits in that place.

Our experts wrote informative guides on industrial and commercial property taxation along with commercial property tax reduction methods to help newbies learn about this topic more in-depth.

Accessibility

Industrial property renters usually move significant quantities of products or bulky products. They use large trucks to ship their goods. If the company is not far from major highways, large vehicles can access them more quickly and without difficulty.

There are industrial businesses that utilize trains or airplanes to move their products. This makes being close to an interstate, which typically runs near airports and rail hubs, a big bonus for industrial assets.

Utilities

Manufacturing companies typically use significant levels of electricity and water. If an industrial building does not contain required utilities, it will limit the types of tenants that will lease it.

Retail Property Investing

Retail investment properties lease space to companies whose customers are average consumers in the trade area. These stores may be in a property by themselves (single-tenant) or in a building with additional tenants (multi-tenant). Retail stores that need to be alone include banks, pharmacies, restaurants, or auto parts stores.

A building that contains a couple or more stores is considered multi-tenant property, as are “neighborhood” centers, “strip” malls, grocery store anchored shopping, or malls with big nationally known tenants considered “big box” shopping centers. A large shopping center with a mix of uses such as office, retail, and residential are called “lifestyle” centers.

Retail owners use “net” lease agreements that require the renters to additionally take responsibility for the property’s taxes, property insurance, and maintenance of the common areas such as the parking areas. Retail renters additionally are required to take care of the property.

Retail property investors look for the demographic data that their renters will stipulate in their location requirements.

Population Growth

Retail investors do not exclusively review the total area’s population and improvement. Their tenants are studying the specific area, or trade area encompassing the marketed location. Customers need to be able to find and conveniently reach your retail renters.

Population growth is significant, but retailers have to have a minimum number of customers at this time. Investors in retail properties will examine all aspects of populace data like population size, annual and 10 year growth numbers, and how many people work in the area.

Median Income

Wage standards show retailers where their customers are. Higher wages reveal a good site for higher end retailers, while middle incomes are suitable for blue-collar retailers such as automobile parts centers.

Median Age

Retail property investors rely on age information that different investors discount. If you want to find and keep good tenants, you’ll need to invest in a building that is located close to their required age groups.

Property Tax Rates

Tax rate information is used by retail investors for the identical reasons as residential and industrial property buyers. Increasing taxes are passed on to their renters which hurts their occupancy rates, and the worth of their asset could be diminished down the road.

Having your real estate incorrectly assessed by the government is an unobvious problem leading even to higher waste of money. If the value is erroneous, the best commercial real estate attorneys in San Francisco CA know how to protest the wrong assessment.

Office Property Investing

Office space is rented to businesses that look for a location for their workers to conduct business. Office space could be large or tiny. Big companies frequently rent office space from others instead of using their business’ assets to acquire or develop space.

The lease contract used for office tenants is a gross lease agreement, sometimes called a “full service” lease agreement. These types of lease agreements add the landlord’s expenses, such as tax and property insurance into the payment. This contract can be adjusted to meet the requirements of the owner and the tenant.

These investors are long term investors who expect returns from lease payments and the appreciation of the property.

Population

The particular demographic data that office property owners employ shows the number of acceptable office workers in the populace. They look for the total populace number, their ages, and their education. So that they can rent to dependable tenants, investors need to mirror the tenants’ requirements in their location criteria.

Property Tax Rates

A properly run city or county that attracts possible office workers to the area won’t have high or consistently expanding tax rates. An acceptable workforce pool attracts desirable office renters.

Incomes/Cost of Living

Higher wages could mean an educated population that a lot of office renters require. The data also helps them estimate labor costs.

Education

Office landlords understand that the education level of the workforce will be significant to their prospective lessees. They should know whether they are recruiting renters who require higher levels of education or not.

BRRRR and Buy and Hold

BRRRR, which stands for “buy, rehab, rent, refinance, repeat”, is an investing method to increase your portfolio by taking advantage of the improved worth of the property. It’s a category of Buy and Hold investment in which a revenue generating property is kept for a significant time. The investor receives lease income during their ownership and a single amount when the asset’s price goes up, then they liquidate it.

After the property is purchased and rehabbed, it is rented to a renter. Then the property is refinanced based on its enhanced worth, and the additional value is paid out to the investor. The investor uses this cash to buy more property which is repaired, leased, refinanced, and so on.

You are unlikely to get a regular multifamily mortgage for a property in need of a considerable renovation. Banks and other traditional mortgage companies can’t serve this type of investments because of a high risk.

PropertyCashin’s directory of commercial real estate service providers will shorten your way to the best San Francisco commercial hard money lenders as well as the best commercial rehab lenders in San Francisco California.

From one of the best commercial real estate brokers in San Francisco CA, get an expert opinion on the benefits and drawbacks of the location for your project. Read on to learn about the indicators it’s best to ask them about.

Median Gross Rents

Investors want to see acceptable current rental rate levels and evidence of reasonable rent bumps. This could affect choices regarding locations for investment and which properties to pick up.

Property Value Growth

Buy and hold investments obviously require assets that are projected to appreciate in value.

Population

The critical population information for buy and hold investors is the growth rate. Weak residential areas that they want to sidestep will demonstrate stagnant or shrinking rates.

Income

To buy the appropriate investment property, investors should be acquainted with their desired tenants’ level of income. If you are comfortable holding mid-priced real estate, you do not need to find high incomes.

Property Tax Rates

Higher taxes will dampen both short-term and long-term profitability. On the other hand, stable tax rates can signal a growing area.

This becomes even more important if your property is incorrectly valued by the county tax assessors. The top San Francisco commercial real estate valuation companies along with the best commercial property tax consulting companies in San Francisco CA are employed by thrifty property owners to fix this.

Development

To a real estate professional, property development means the creation of any commercial property or an entire residential neighborhood. The developer should locate property that matches their specifications so that they can produce residential lots for sale or commercial rental properties.

This requires suitable zoning, land use design by civil engineers, construction plans for buildings, and the okay from the local authorities. Once all the submissions are authorized, the site work and construction are completed and purchasers or renters are located.

Real estate ventures can take years to finish. In that period, economic and legislative changes can influence the investor’s success. This is why the most financially risky method of property investment is development.

A project may be interrupted by various events causing a long delay before resuming construction work. Even when the site is protected against vandals, one can’t prevent natural cataclysms from damaging the unfinished building. But you can use the best commercial property insurance companies in San Francisco CA to ensure that you obtain a sufficient compensation in such case.

Lenders expect your project to be protected by a good insurance. The best commercial construction lenders in San Francisco California may provide a list of insurers they deem reliable.

Population

Developers use populace size and growth speed in conjunction with economic and education data to make sure that there will be enough retail shoppers and residential homebuyers in the region.

Income

The income level of the area’s people will dictate the kind of retail development that the populace will patronize. A neighborhood that does not appeal to a high-end retail store might be just what a moderately priced company is looking for.

Data on wages can help industrial and office tenants see what they’ll be required to pay their labor pool in that market. Wage levels help developers understand if a market is good for industrial or office spaces.

Education

Industrial and office space renters want distinct levels of education in the locality’s populace. Office space occupants often seek possible employees with a college degree. Industrial businesses search for a larger concentration of high school graduates.

Age

An aging population that more frequently utilizes public services isn’t what developers are hunting for. A citizenry that is actively involved in the labor pool is the best for office and industrial real estate developments. Retail building developers need households and workforce participants who dine out and shop more regularly.

Growing households become homebuyers serving the foundation of a growing residential market.

Mortgage Note Investing

Real estate loan note investors buy actual loans cheaper than the balance owed and become the current lender. Lenders sometimes sell loans to boost cash, but they usually liquidate them due to them not being paid as agreed.

One mortgage note investment plan is to set up a revised loan payment program that is easier for the borrower to meet, and preserve the investment in place long-term. They know that if the borrower discontinues making payments, they can recover the collateral and sell it, which is part of the plan.

Population

Loan note buyers, like other investors, have to discover the number of residents in the prospective market and if that number is expanding or decreasing. Investors know immediately if an area is doable by analyzing population information.

Property Values

Expanding real estate values are the most crucial sign when promissory note investors assess a neighborhood. The investor is loaning on the value of the property and not the borrower’s financial strength.

Property Tax Rates

If property taxes rise, the higher housing cost will be hard for struggling borrowers to maintain. This picture harms long-term investors, but it helps short-term note investors who prefer to monetize their investment fast.

Passive Real Estate Investing Strategies

Syndications

An investment that is structured by an individual who solicits people to invest the required capital is defined as a syndication.

The syndicator/sponsor is the individual who pieces the investment together. Along with structuring the project, they supervise the investment and the partnership tasks.

People who put money in syndications are passive investors. To qualify as a passive investor, they cannot help with the operation of the syndication investment.

Real Estate Market

The type of investment that the syndication is created for will dictate the market demos that sponsors have to scrutinize in their research.

The previous investment method descriptions will show you the research requirements for varying investment categories.

Syndicator/Sponsor

The sponsor may or may not put in their own cash. Their ownership interest is determined by their work developing and supervising the project. Investors call this “sweat equity”.

You may want to invest in a syndication that requires the sponsor to place their funds into the deal.

The syndicator should be an honest, veteran professional real estate investor. A preferred sponsor will show a curriculum vitae that lists investment ventures that brought sufficient returns to the investors.

Ownership Interest

A syndication is legally owned by its members. Their investment guarantees them an equivalent percentage of the legal company. Capital investors should be provided preferred treatment compared to sweat equity members.

A preferred return is normally used to entice investors to join the project. This return is disbursed before the rest of any net income are disbursed.

At some point, the investors might decide to sell the investment assets and divide any gains. This can significantly raise the investors’ returns generated by regular revenues. The part of net profits that are disbursed to every participant were negotiated and specified in the syndication’s operating contract.

REITs

Real estate investment trusts (REITs for short) are investment entities that acquire and operate revenue generating real properties. Lease receipts and periodic asset liquidations create the REIT’s revenue.

These trusts must disburse 90% of profits to shareholders as dividends. The ability to get their cash out by selling their REIT shares appeals to small investors.

REIT shareholders are classified as passive investors which means that they have nothing to do with the purchase or operation of any assets.

REITs are sometimes acquired by professionals who want to transition from active to passive investing. They purchase REIT shares when they sell real property.

A tax deferred exchange is created to save money for investors who intend to do this. Our guides — Can You Do a 1031 Exchange into a REIT with a Section 721 Exchange? and What Is a DST 1031 Exchange? — will allow you to understand the benefits and rules of this investment vehicle.

For this procedure, you will have to employ a 1031 Exchange Qualified Intermediary. Our directory contains the best 1031 exchange Qualified Intermediaries in San Francisco CA to help you in your search.

Real Estate Investment Funds

Real estate investment funds are an additional venture that pools financial resources to invest in real estate. It’s a fund that invests in other real estate-associated organizations, such as REITs.

Investment funds do not have to distribute their income to shareholders. The shareholder’s profit is created by the value of the fund’s stock.

Mutual funds, ETFs (exchange-traded funds), and high-end private equity funds are thought of as real estate investment funds. Shareholders are permitted to sell their shares if they need money, like REITs.

Share buyers are passive investors who aren’t participants in the determinations of the fund’s managers.

Housing

San Francisco Housing 2024

Those who are researching San Francisco CA as an investment market will examine the median gross rent of . They’ll need to realize how it compares to the state’s median of . Nationally, it is .

The portion of , at which rental units are occupied in San Francisco, is helpful data for investors. The occupancy rate statewide is , while nationwide the ratio is .

Residential occupancy rates in San Francisco are . This means that of the whole number of residential units are unoccupied.

Residential investors should contrast the rate of home ownership in the area, which is , with the state’s figure of . Nationwide, the level is .

Keeping in mind that the annual home value appreciation rate was over the last ten years is essential for a successful investor.

Throughout the state, was the annual average. Throughout the US, the average annual rate during that time period was .

Market growth rates affect a median home value that is . By using the state and national contrasts, you have values at and respectively.

Housing Quick Stats
Home Appreciation Rate(2010-2018)
Median Home Value
Median Gross Rent
Price To Rent Ratio
Home Ownership Rate
Tenant Occupied Rate
Average Property Tax Rate

San Francisco Home Ownership

San Francisco Rent & Ownership

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Based on latest data from the US Census Bureau

San Francisco Rent Vs Owner Occupied By Household Type

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San Francisco Occupied & Vacant Number Of Homes And Apartments

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San Francisco Household Type

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San Francisco Property Types

San Francisco Age Of Homes

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San Francisco Types Of Homes

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San Francisco Homes Size

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Marketplace

San Francisco Commercial Investment Property Marketplace

For commercial real estate investors, our Commercial Investment Property Marketplace can be an essential resource. Our nationwide platform enables you to quickly find lucrative investment opportunities matching your buying criteria.

The interface of our Marketplace is meticulously designed with commercial property investors’ needs in mind. Unlike other real estate listing websites, our Marketplace provides easily accessible and extremely detailed information about the property’s features and deal type.

Learn and analyze data such as projected repair expenses, potential rental income or resale profit before even contacting the seller. Choose from San Francisco commercial properties for sale by visiting our Marketplace

San Francisco Commercial Investment Properties for Sale

Homes For Sale

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Financing

San Francisco Commercial Real Estate Investing Financing

To simplify your search for commercial real estate financing, including rehab and construction projects, we created a tool helping you easily shop for loans with the best terms.

To get quotes from multiple lenders in San Francisco CA for your preferred loan type, submit this quick online commercial real estate financing application form.

San Francisco Commercial Investment Property Loan Types

Check out some of the most popular real estate loans provided by top local lenders in San Francisco, CA
  • Rehab Loans
  • Fix and Flip Loans
  • Bridge Loans
  • Asset Based Loans
  • Cash Out/Refinance Loans
  • Transactional Funding
  • Transactional Hard Money Loans
  • Private Money Loans
  • New Construction Loans

Compare Commercial Investment Property Loan Rates in San Francisco

Receive multiple offers from best private and hard money lenders and get access to unlimited capital to fund any type of real estate investment property!
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Purchase
Rehab
Construction
Refinance
Bridge
Development

Population

San Francisco Population Over Time

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Based on latest data from the US Census Bureau

San Francisco Population By Year

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San Francisco Population By Age And Sex

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Economy

San Francisco Economy 2024

When you examine the San Francisco economy, you can find an unemployment rate of . is the unemployment percentage statewide. Nationally, it shows .

The average salary in San Francisco is contrasted with the state indicator of , and the US average of .

The per capita income in San Francisco is . Throughout the state, it reaches . This can be analyzed alongside the nation’s per capita income of .

While ranking income categories in our society, median incomes are utilized as a benchmark. is the median income in San Francisco. You can compare that against the statewide median of and the national median of .

San Francisco shows a poverty rate of . is the overall value for the whole state, while the United States altogether has a rate of .

Economy Quick Stats
Unemployment Rate
Median Household Income
Per Capita Income
Overall Poverty Rate
Average Salary
Property Price To Income Ratio
Salary Change Rate (2010-2018)

San Francisco Residents’ Income

San Francisco Median Household Income

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San Francisco Per Capita Income

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San Francisco Income Distribution

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San Francisco Poverty Over Time

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San Francisco Property Price To Income Ratio Over Time

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San Francisco Job Market

San Francisco Employment Industries (Top 10)

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San Francisco Unemployment Rate

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San Francisco Employment Distribution By Age

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San Francisco Average Salary Over Time

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San Francisco Employment Rate Over Time

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San Francisco Employed Population Over Time

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Schools

San Francisco School Ratings

If you look at the San Francisco school system information, you will discover that the percentage of students who graduated from high school is . There are in the San Francisco school system, with middle schools, along including elementary schools.

School Quick Stats
Elementary Schools
Middle Schools
High Schools
Private Schools
High School Graduates

San Francisco School Ratings

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Based on latest data from the US Census Bureau

San Francisco Neighborhoods